26 August 2020: I was right! Eventually

Although I’m well known in yachting circles for running aground, my milk powder depth-sounder sensed the bottom last week, and with the return of autumn weather comes the buying interest, and up the market seems to be going. It’s not all seaweed-reading, the facts are that as the dollar has taken a pasting, and domestic milk powders are relatively cheap, US traders have stolen some big orders to Algeria and other markets that traditionally source from the EU. Couple this with low liquid milk production in Europe and the middle market forcing some arbitrage, and both whey and particularly skim look ripe for a bull run, possibly in excess of €100/tonne.

It has started slowly, whey is only up €10, and although edible skim milk is unchanged, feed grade has jumped €20. What is significant is that these rises represent the return of volume purchases, and as calf milk replacer orders for autumn calving come in, traders sense blood. As this peculiar year has seen feast and famine, then feast, and the cheap parcels of off-grade powders have disappeared, order times going into September could roll out to three or four weeks.

BDC agri is the UK broker for Lacto Production milk and whey powder products.

For further information and prices, contact Greg Dunn on 01206 381521 or g.dunn@blackdiamondcommodities.com


Recent Posts

See All

14 October 2021: Market's on fire!

However predictable a further price rise in skim milk powder was, a €70 or 2.5% hike in a week is pretty staggering. And that isn’t the whole story, as physical supply has dried up and the market pric

7 October 2021: Heat turned up even higher

The skim milk price is heading into space faster than Captain Kirk, up nearly 2% this week, or €50 per tonne, and it's now impossible to find under €2800, and then only a truck at a time. It's getting

30 September 2021: Market divergence?

The two pillars of the milk powder market seem to be moving apart. Sweet whey is showing a €10 decrease on the Dutch market, but still unchanged in France. The interesting factor is what is happening